Paykan FC vs Nassaji Mazandaran FC
Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Paykan FC are 11th on 13 points after 11 games, level on points with Gol Gohar, 2 points clear of Nassaji Mazandaran. A win would take them above Gol Gohar. Nassaji Mazandaran FC are 12th on 11 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Paykan, 1 point clear of Malavan. A win would take them above Paykan.
Form. Paykan FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition Paykan FC have gone W D L D L W. Nassaji Mazandaran FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D. In this competition Nassaji Mazandaran FC have gone L D D D D W.
The numbers. Paykan FC score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nassaji Mazandaran FC score 0.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Paykan FC have won two, drawn five and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, three were drawn and Nassaji Mazandaran FC won one. The last time they met, on 15 Feb 2024, it finished Paykan FC 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 60%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 10%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15, 76% on the records (Paykan FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Nassaji Mazandaran FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Full cover: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Nassaji Mazandaran FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Paykan FC 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).