Match details. Jo2. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Hay AL Amir Hassan have won none, drawn three and lost four of their last seven, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. AL Sareeh have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D.
The numbers. Hay AL Amir Hassan score 0.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Hay AL Amir Hassan average 7.7 shots (2.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. AL Sareeh score 2.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AL Sareeh average 8.4 shots (2.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The case against. Hay AL Amir Hassan's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. AL Sareeh to win. Their goals for and against make AL Sareeh the likelier winners; AL Sareeh are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Hay AL Amir Hassan 0-2 AL Sareeh (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).