Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 18. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 02:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Alianza FC Valledupar are 14th on 18 points after 17 games, 2 points behind Llaneros, 1 point clear of Deportivo Pereira. A win would take them above Llaneros. Llaneros FC are 13th on 20 points after 17 games, level on points with Internacional de Bogota, 2 points clear of Alianza Valledupar. A win would take them above Internacional de Bogota.
Form. Alianza FC Valledupar have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. In this competition Alianza FC Valledupar have gone L L W W D L. Llaneros FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition Llaneros FC have gone W L L W L L.
The numbers. Alianza FC Valledupar score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Alianza FC Valledupar average 12.1 shots (3.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 4.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Llaneros FC score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Llaneros FC average 12.2 shots (5.5 on target), 5.1 corners and 4.8 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Alianza FC Valledupar have won two, drawn one and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Alianza FC Valledupar 0-0 Llaneros FC: Alianza FC Valledupar had 8 shots to 9, 42% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Llaneros FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Alianza FC Valledupar to win. Alianza FC Valledupar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alianza FC Valledupar.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Alianza FC Valledupar or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Alianza FC Valledupar 1UP (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Alianza FC Valledupar (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Alianza FC Valledupar 1-0 Llaneros FC (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Alianza FC Valledupar or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 4 of 5 (80%) · LLA 8 of 10 (80%)86.7%
Alianza FC Valledupar scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
Alianza FC Valledupar or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 9 of 10 (90%) · LLA 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%
Alianza FC Valledupar: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 2 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
Alianza FC Valledupar or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 9 of 10 (90%) · LLA 8 of 10 (80%)82.4%
Alianza FC Valledupar: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
Alianza FC Valledupar or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 6 of 10 (60%) · LLA 9 of 10 (90%)78.6%
Alianza FC Valledupar: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
Double Chance: Alianza FC Valledupar or DrawLEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
ALI 6 of 10 (60%) · LLA 7 of 10 (70%)68%
Alianza FC Valledupar unbeaten in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
Alianza FC Valledupar (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 5 of 9 (56%) · LLA 7 of 10 (70%)54.4%
Alianza FC Valledupar won 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Llaneros FC lost 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 63% · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level · won 12, refunded 1, lost 7
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 10 of 10 (100%) · LLA 10 of 10 (100%)97.1%
Alianza FC Valledupar: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 9 of 10 (90%) · LLA 8 of 10 (80%)91.9%
Alianza FC Valledupar: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 10 of 10 (100%) · LLA 10 of 10 (100%)89%
Alianza FC Valledupar: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 2 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 6 of 10 (60%) · LLA 7 of 10 (70%)67%
Alianza FC Valledupar: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 1 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
ALIANZA FC VALLEDUPAR GOALS
Alianza FC Valledupar Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 9 of 10 (90%) · LLA 8 of 10 (80%)69.9%
Alianza FC Valledupar scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 3 · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
LLANEROS FC GOALS
Llaneros FC Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 7 of 10 (70%) · LLA 6 of 10 (60%)70.8%
Llaneros FC scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alianza FC Valledupar conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 3 · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level
Llaneros FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 7 of 10 (70%) · LLA 7 of 10 (70%)65.9%
Llaneros FC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alianza FC Valledupar conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 1 of 3 · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 8 of 10 (80%) · LLA 7 of 10 (70%)69%
Alianza FC Valledupar: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 1 of 3 · on half-time scores · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALI 8 of 8 (100%) · LLA 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%
Alianza FC Valledupar's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Alianza FC Valledupar: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Alianza FC Valledupar's level
Left off the list: Alianza FC Valledupar or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (59%) and the records (82%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Alianza FC Valledupar 1UP (the numbers (53%) and the records (77%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); 1X2 - 2UP: Alianza FC Valledupar (the numbers (39%) and the records (63%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.5%
Alianza FC Valledupar goals →
Llaneros FC goals ↓
0-011%
1-012%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-26%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.6%
1-40.7%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
ALIANZA FC VALLEDUPARWWLWLDWWLL1.60 PPG
LLANEROS FCLLWLLLWLLW0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALIANZA FC VALLEDUPAR HOMExLLANEROS FC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%CLEAN SHEETS20%36%FAILED TO SCORE28%4.25CORNERS A GAME5.124.00CARDS A GAME4.750.84xG1.201.07xG AGAINST1.18
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.07POINTS A GAME1.07-0.64GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES15
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
ALIANZA FC VALLEDUPAR OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
LLANEROS FC OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALIANZA FC VALLEDUPARxLLANEROS FC
7GAMES61.00SCORED A GAME0.831.43CONCEDED A GAME1.672.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.557%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%57%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
ALIANZA FC VALLEDUPAR 2 · 67%DRAW 1LLANEROS FC 0 · 0%
1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
1 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-04-11Alianza FC Valledupar 1 – 0 Llaneros FC
2025-09-27Alianza FC Valledupar 3 – 1 Llaneros FC
2026-04-26Alianza FC Valledupar 0 – 0 Llaneros FC
TRENDS
Alianza FC Valledupar have scored in 90% of their games.
Llaneros FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Alianza FC Valledupar kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Llaneros FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards