Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 16. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro.
What's at stake. Queretaro FC are 11th on 20 points after 14 games, level on points with U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 1 point clear of CF Pachuca. A win would take them above U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Club Puebla are 14th on 16 points after 15 games, 3 points behind Atletico San Luis, 1 point clear of Tigres UANL. A win would take them level on points with Atletico San Luis.
Form. Queretaro FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition Queretaro FC have gone L L L L W W. Club Puebla have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. In this competition Club Puebla have gone L L L D D L.
The numbers. Queretaro FC score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Queretaro FC average 14.1 shots (4.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Club Puebla score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Puebla average 12.6 shots (3.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Queretaro FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Queretaro FC won three and Club Puebla won one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Queretaro FC 2-1 Club Puebla: Queretaro FC had 21 shots to 8, 60% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Club Puebla's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Queretaro FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Queretaro FC the likelier winners; Queretaro FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Queretaro FC; the meetings favour Queretaro FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Queretaro FC or Draw at 1.22, 79% on the records (Queretaro FC unbeaten in 5 of 10; Club Puebla failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Queretaro FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Club Puebla Under 1.5 goals (Queretaro FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Club Puebla Over 0.5 goals (Club Puebla's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Queretaro FC 1-0 Club Puebla (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).