Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 37. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Germano Kruger, Punta Grossa. The referee is Savio Pereira Sampaio.
What's at stake. Operario Ferroviario EC PR are 11th on 51 points after 36 games, 1 point behind São Bernardo, 3 points clear of Botafogo SP. A win would take them above São Bernardo. SC Recife PE are 8th on 55 points after 36 games, level on points with Goias, level on points with Atletico Goianiense. A win would take them above Goias.
Form. Operario Ferroviario EC PR have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Operario Ferroviario EC PR have gone L W L L L L. SC Recife PE have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition SC Recife PE have gone D W L D W W.
The numbers. Operario Ferroviario EC PR score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Operario Ferroviario EC PR average 12.9 shots (2.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. SC Recife PE score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. SC Recife PE average 14.8 shots (4.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Operario Ferroviario EC PR have won three, drawn two and lost two. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Operario Ferroviario EC PR won two, one was drawn and SC Recife PE won one. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished Operario Ferroviario EC PR 2-2 SC Recife PE: Operario Ferroviario EC PR had 16 shots to 23, 45% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. SC Recife PE are the form side, but the meetings favour Operario Ferroviario EC PR: in the last seven meetings, Operario Ferroviario EC PR won three, SC Recife PE won two and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); SC Recife PE or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); SC Recife PE or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Operario Ferroviario EC PR 2-1 SC Recife PE (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).