Doqarah FC vs AL Arabi
Match details. Jordan League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Doqarah FC are 10th on 4 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Shabab Al Ordon. A win would take them above Shabab Al Ordon. AL Arabi are 8th on 7 points after 7 games, level on points with Al Salt, 1 point clear of Shabab Al Ordon. A win would take them above Al Salt.
Form. Doqarah FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. AL Arabi have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D.
The numbers. Doqarah FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Doqarah FC average 9.6 shots (3.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game. AL Arabi score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. AL Arabi average 10.0 shots (2.9 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Doqarah FC's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. AL Arabi to win. A tight game. AL Arabi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Arabi. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 76% on the records (Doqarah FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; AL Arabi: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: AL Arabi or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AL Arabi or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Doqarah FC 0-1 AL Arabi (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).