Inova Sca vs ASEC Mimosas
Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Inova Sca have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. ASEC Mimosas have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D.
The numbers. Inova Sca score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. ASEC Mimosas score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. ASEC Mimosas average 6.6 shots (2.6 on target), 2.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 10%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Inova Sca or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); ASEC Mimosas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Inova Sca 0-0 ASEC Mimosas (18% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).