Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta
Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ferro Carril Oeste have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L.
The numbers. Ferro Carril Oeste score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ferro Carril Oeste average 5.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta average 3.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Ferro Carril Oeste to win. A tight game. Ferro Carril Oeste are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ferro Carril Oeste. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).