DMDEP

16:00Sat 14 Nov

CDM

Deportivo Madryn vs CD Maipu

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 14 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Deportivo Madryn have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. CD Maipu have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W.

The numbers. Deportivo Madryn score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Deportivo Madryn average 3.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. CD Maipu score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Maipu average 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

The case against. CD Maipu's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. Deportivo Madryn to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Deportivo Madryn the likelier winners; Deportivo Madryn are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Madryn. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Deportivo Madryn or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Deportivo Madryn or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Madryn 1-0 CD Maipu (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Deportivo Madryn or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CDM 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%

Deportivo Madryn scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · CD Maipu trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level

Deportivo Madryn or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 4 of 5 (80%)80%

Deportivo Madryn: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Maipu: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level

Deportivo Madryn 1UPPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%

Deportivo Madryn scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · CD Maipu trailed in 3 of 5 away · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level

Deportivo Madryn or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 3 of 5 (60%)68.3%

Deportivo Madryn: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Maipu: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CDM 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%

Deportivo Madryn: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Maipu: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 5 of 5 (100%)88.7%

Deportivo Madryn: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CD Maipu: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 3 of 5 (60%) · CDM 4 of 5 (80%)75.1%

Deportivo Madryn: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Maipu: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level

DEPORTIVO MADRYN GOALS

Deportivo Madryn Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 3 of 5 (60%)78.2%

Deportivo Madryn scored in 4 of 5 at home · CD Maipu conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CD Maipu's level · CD Maipu: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level

Left off the list: Deportivo Madryn or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Deportivo Madryn or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.4%

Deportivo Madryn goals →

CD Maipu goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

DEPORTIVO MADRYNWWDLWDWLWL1.70 PPG

CD MAIPUDWLDWWDDDL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DEPORTIVO MADRYN HOMExCD MAIPU AWAY

1.44SCORED A GAME1.190.86CONCEDED A GAME0.9440%BOTH SCORED40%50%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.03CORNERS A GAME4.371.67CARDS A GAME1.60

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.69POINTS A GAME1.40+0.69GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.20-0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.42.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.613LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

30%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

DEPORTIVO MADRYN OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

CD MAIPU OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DEPORTIVO MADRYNxCD MAIPU

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME0.600.80CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Deportivo Madryn have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Maipu have scored in 60% of their games.

Deportivo Madryn kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

CD Maipu kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards