Match details. Liga Al, Women. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Kiryat Gat SC have won four, drawn none and lost one of their last five league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W W. Maccabi Holon FC have won three, drawn none and lost two of their last five league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. Kiryat Gat SC score 2.8 and concede one a game over their last five, with three clean sheets. Kiryat Gat SC average 13.2 shots (4.8 on target), 9.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Maccabi Holon FC score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Maccabi Holon FC average 8.6 shots (3.0 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
The case against. Maccabi Holon FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Kiryat Gat SC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kiryat Gat SC the likelier winners; Kiryat Gat SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kiryat Gat SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: Kiryat Gat SC 3-0 Maccabi Holon FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. Kiryat Gat SC or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).