Match details. Egypt Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Khaled Bichara Stadium, El Gouna.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. El Gouna FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Ittihad El Shorta have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. El Gouna FC score 0.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. El Gouna FC average 11.1 shots (2.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Ittihad El Shorta score none and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last three meetings El Gouna FC have won none, drawn two and lost one. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 1 Jul 2015, it finished El Gouna FC 1-1 Ittihad El Shorta.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ittihad El Shorta Over 0.5 goals (Ittihad El Shorta's own games don't back it (0 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: El Gouna FC 0-0 Ittihad El Shorta (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).