Match details. Liga e Pare, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. KF Trepca Mitrovice are 15th on 12 points after 13 games, level on points with Ramiz Sadiku, 1 point clear of Mitrovica. A win would take them above Ramiz Sadiku. KF Istogu are 11th on 19 points after 13 games, level on points with Suhareka, 6 points clear of FC Besa Peja. A win would take them above Suhareka.
Form. KF Trepca Mitrovice have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition KF Trepca Mitrovice have gone D L L L L W. KF Istogu have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition KF Istogu have gone W L W L W W.
The numbers. KF Trepca Mitrovice score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. KF Trepca Mitrovice average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. KF Istogu score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. KF Istogu average 3.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. KF Trepca Mitrovice have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 22 Nov 2025, it finished KF Trepca Mitrovice 3-2 KF Istogu.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 15%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: KF Trepca Mitrovice 0-0 KF Istogu (16% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (KF Trepca Mitrovice the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).