National Bank of Egypt SC vs Port Fouad SC
Match details. Egypt Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. National Bank of Egypt SC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L. Port Fouad SC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. In this competition Port Fouad SC have gone L.
The numbers. National Bank of Egypt SC score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. National Bank of Egypt SC average 15.3 shots (4.3 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Port Fouad SC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: National Bank of Egypt SC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make National Bank of Egypt SC the likelier winners; National Bank of Egypt SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour National Bank of Egypt SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: National Bank of Egypt SC 2-1 Port Fouad SC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).