Fraijanes FC vs Huehuetecos FC
Match details. Primera Division. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time.
Form. Fraijanes FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W. Huehuetecos FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D.
The numbers. Fraijanes FC score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fraijanes FC average 5.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Huehuetecos FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Huehuetecos FC average 2.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fraijanes FC 1-1 Huehuetecos FC (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Fraijanes FC the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).