Match details. Challenger Pro League. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. RSC Anderlecht Futures have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D.
The numbers. RSC Anderlecht Futures score 1.2 and concede 2.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. RSC Anderlecht Futures average 11.4 shots (3.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring average 9.6 shots (3.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The case against. RSC Anderlecht Futures's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring to win. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: RSC Anderlecht Futures or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring). Predicted score: RSC Anderlecht Futures 1-2 Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).