PXPOL

18:00Thu 5 Nov

TOW

Police Xi vs Township Rollers

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Police Xi are 7th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Galaxy, 2 points clear of TAFIC. A win would take them above Galaxy. Township Rollers are 10th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Extension Gunners, 1 point clear of Prisons XI. A win would take them above Extension Gunners.

Form. Police Xi have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Township Rollers have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L.

The numbers. Police Xi score 0.5 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and six games without a goal. Police Xi average 12.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Township Rollers score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Township Rollers average 14.0 shots (5.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Police Xi have won one, drawn three and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Township Rollers won three. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Police Xi 0-2 Township Rollers.

Where it pulls both ways. Police Xi are the form side, but the meetings favour Township Rollers: in the last ten meetings, Police Xi won one, Township Rollers won six and three were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Police Xi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Township Rollers or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Police Xi 1-1 Township Rollers (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 10 of 10 (100%) · TOW 4 of 5 (80%)97%

Police Xi: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Township Rollers: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 10 of 10 (100%) · TOW 4 of 5 (80%)92.2%

Police Xi: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Township Rollers: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 10 of 10 (100%) · TOW 4 of 5 (80%)82.4%

Police Xi: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Township Rollers: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

POL 10 of 10 (100%) · TOW 3 of 5 (60%)60.2%

Police Xi: under 2.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Township Rollers: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Police Xi: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 4 of 5 (80%) · TOW 5 of 8 (62%)71.3%

Police Xi's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Township Rollers's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Police Xi: only games against sides at Township Rollers's level · Township Rollers: only games against sides at Police Xi's level

Left off the list: Police Xi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Township Rollers or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

Police Xi goals →

Township Rollers goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

POLICE XIDLWWDDLLWD1.30 PPG

TOWNSHIP ROLLERSWLLDWLDLDW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

POLICE XI HOMExTOWNSHIP ROLLERS AWAY

0.50SCORED A GAME1.300.60CONCEDED A GAME1.5060%CLEAN SHEETS20%50%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.40CORNERS A GAME5.251.80CARDS A GAME2.62

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.29+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.14-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

19%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

POLICE XI OR DRAW

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

TOWNSHIP ROLLERS OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

POLICE XIxTOWNSHIP ROLLERS

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.801.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

POLICE XI 1 · 10%DRAW 3TOWNSHIP ROLLERS 6 · 60%

2 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-11-07Police Xi 0 – 0 Township Rollers

2020-01-19Police Xi 0 – 7 Township Rollers

2021-11-27Police Xi 0 – 1 Township Rollers

2022-05-24Police Xi 1 – 0 Township Rollers

2022-11-04Police Xi 1 – 1 Township Rollers

2023-04-12Police Xi 0 – 1 Township Rollers

2023-12-16Police Xi 0 – 3 Township Rollers

2024-03-15Police Xi 1 – 3 Township Rollers

TRENDS

Police Xi have scored in 40% of their games.

Township Rollers have scored in 90% of their games.

Police Xi kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Township Rollers kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards