Estanciano SE vs AD Frei Paulistano SE
Match details. Sergipano, Serie A2, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Estanciano SE are 2nd on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Caninde. AD Frei Paulistano SE are 3rd on 3 points after 2 games, -1 points clear of Olímpico SE.
Form. Estanciano SE have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Estanciano SE have gone W D L W L L. AD Frei Paulistano SE have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition AD Frei Paulistano SE have gone W L W W L W.
The numbers. Estanciano SE score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Estanciano SE average 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AD Frei Paulistano SE score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. AD Frei Paulistano SE average 4.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Estanciano SE have won one, drawn none and lost two. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 25 Sep 2024, it finished Estanciano SE 1-4 AD Frei Paulistano SE.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 55%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: AD Frei Paulistano SE are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make AD Frei Paulistano SE the likelier winners; AD Frei Paulistano SE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Frei Paulistano SE.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Estanciano SE Over 0.5 Goals (AD Frei Paulistano SE's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); AD Frei Paulistano SE Over 1.5 goals (AD Frei Paulistano SE's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Estanciano SE 1-1 AD Frei Paulistano SE (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).