Match details. Liga 1. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. Sporting Cristal have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma score 0.8 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma average 4.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Sporting Cristal score three and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Sporting Cristal average 5.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 35% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Sporting Cristal are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Sporting Cristal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting Cristal. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 1-2 Sporting Cristal (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASO 8 of 8 (100%) · SPO 7 of 8 (88%)94.3%
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Cristal: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: only games against sides at Sporting Cristal's level · Sporting Cristal: only games against sides at Asociacion Deportiva Tarma's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASO 7 of 8 (88%) · SPO 8 of 8 (100%)92.7%
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Cristal: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: only games against sides at Sporting Cristal's level · Sporting Cristal: only games against sides at Asociacion Deportiva Tarma's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASO 8 of 8 (100%) · SPO 4 of 8 (50%)86.3%
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Cristal: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: only games against sides at Sporting Cristal's level · Sporting Cristal: only games against sides at Asociacion Deportiva Tarma's level
ASOCIACION DEPORTIVA TARMA GOALS
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
ASO 5 of 8 (62%) · SPO 5 of 8 (62%)66.1%
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Cristal conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: only games against sides at Sporting Cristal's level · Sporting Cristal: only games against sides at Asociacion Deportiva Tarma's level
SPORTING CRISTAL GOALS
Sporting Cristal Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.27
ASO 8 of 8 (100%) · SPO 6 of 8 (75%)77.6%
Sporting Cristal scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Asociacion Deportiva Tarma conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Sporting Cristal: only games against sides at Asociacion Deportiva Tarma's level · Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: only games against sides at Sporting Cristal's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.1%
Asociacion Deportiva… goals →
Sporting Cristal goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
1.09SCORED A GAME1.941.47CONCEDED A GAME1.4740%BOTH SCORED50%20%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.47CORNERS A GAME5.912.97CARDS A GAME2.19
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.77POINTS A GAME2.00-0.69GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.17+2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.11.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.413LEAGUE GAMES12
Sporting Cristal: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
SPORTING CRISTAL 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
69%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
ASOCIACION DEPORTIVA TARMA OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
SPORTING CRISTAL OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ASOCIACION DEPORTIVA TARMAxSPORTING CRISTAL
7GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.001.14CONCEDED A GAME2.002.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.071%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%57%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma have scored in 50% of their games.
Sporting Cristal have scored in 100% of their games.
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Sporting Cristal kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards