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BG Pathum United vs Tai Po FC

CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
85
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
BG Pathum United crestBPvTai Po FC crestTP
Over 1.5 Goals
BG Pathum United v Tai Po FC
International Clubs -… · 13:15
1.16odds
86%book
-1edge
1/1angles
THE READ

Match details. AFC Champions League Two, Group Stage - 4. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 13:15 Lagos time. It is played at True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani.

What's at stake. BG Pathum United are 3rd on 4 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Adelaide United, 4 points clear of Wofoo Tai Po. A win would take them above Adelaide United. Tai Po FC are 4th on 0 points after 3 games, 4 points behind BG Pathum United.

Form. BG Pathum United have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. Tai Po FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.

The numbers. BG Pathum United score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. BG Pathum United average 9.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Tai Po FC score 1.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Tai Po FC average 11.8 shots (4.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 35% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 29 Oct 2026, it finished BG Pathum United 3-0 Tai Po FC: BG Pathum United had 11 shots to 6, 58% of the ball, four yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 85% on the records (BG Pathum United: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Tai Po FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: BG Pathum United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tai Po FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: BG Pathum United 2-1 Tai Po FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BGP 9 of 10 (90%) · TAI 10 of 10 (100%)95%
BG Pathum United: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tai Po FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
BGP 8 of 10 (80%) · TAI 9 of 10 (90%)85%
BG Pathum United: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tai Po FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
BGP 4 of 10 (40%) · TAI 7 of 10 (70%)55%
BG Pathum United: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tai Po FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
BG PATHUM UNITED GOALS
BG Pathum United Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BGP 8 of 10 (80%) · TAI 10 of 10 (100%)90%
BG Pathum United scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tai Po FC conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.13
BGP 8 of 10 (80%) · TAI 9 of 10 (90%)85%
BG Pathum United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tai Po FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.25
BGP 8 of 10 (80%) · TAI 8 of 10 (80%)80%
BG Pathum United: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tai Po FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BGP 9 of 10 (90%) · TAI 7 of 10 (70%)80%
BG Pathum United's games: over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tai Po FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Left off the list: BG Pathum United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tai Po FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); BG Pathum United or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Tai Po FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.1%
BG Pathum United goals →
Tai Po FC goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-16%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.2%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
BG PATHUM UNITEDDWDLDLDWWL1.30 PPG
TAI PO FCLWWLLDLWWL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BG PATHUM UNITED HOMExTAI PO FC AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.701.10CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE100%4.20CORNERS A GAME4.702.40CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.29POINTS A GAME1.67+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.71.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES6
Tai Po FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
72%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
BG PATHUM UNITED OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
TAI PO FC OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BG PATHUM UNITEDxTAI PO FC
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE100%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.29.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
BG PATHUM UNITED 1 · 100%DRAW 0TAI PO FC 0 · 0%
2026-10-29BG Pathum United 3 – 0 Tai Po FC
TRENDS
BG Pathum United have scored in 80% of their games.
Tai Po FC have scored in 60% of their games.
BG Pathum United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Tai Po FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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