INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE TWO

MZMAC

11:00Thu 5 Nov

SHA

Machida Zelvia vs Shanghai Shenhua FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. AFC Champions League Two. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time.

Form. Machida Zelvia have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. Shanghai Shenhua FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.

The numbers. Machida Zelvia score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Machida Zelvia average 12.0 shots (5.0 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Shanghai Shenhua FC score two and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Shanghai Shenhua FC average 13.6 shots (6.0 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

The case against. Shanghai Shenhua FC's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Machida Zelvia or the draw. An open game. Machida Zelvia are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Shanghai Shenhua FC Under 1.5 goals (Shanghai Shenhua FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua FC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAC 3 of 5 (60%) · SHA 5 of 6 (83%)71.4%

Machida Zelvia: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Shanghai Shenhua FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

MACHIDA ZELVIA GOALS

Machida Zelvia Over 0.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 92%

1.09

MAC 3 of 5 (60%) · SHA 5 of 6 (83%)71.4%

Machida Zelvia scored in 3 of 5 at home · Shanghai Shenhua FC conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: Shanghai Shenhua FC Under 1.5 goals (Shanghai Shenhua FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.3%

Machida Zelvia goals →

Shanghai Shenhua FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-07%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-112%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MACHIDA ZELVIADWDWWWWDWL2.10 PPG

SHANGHAI SHENHUA FCLLWDWWWLLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MACHIDA ZELVIA HOMExSHANGHAI SHENHUA FC AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME0.670.00CONCEDED A GAME0.6780%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.67CORNERS A GAME5.671.10CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.15POINTS A GAME1.62+1.54GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.38+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.42.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.813LEAGUE GAMES13

Machida Zelvia: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

30%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

28%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

MACHIDA ZELVIA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

SHANGHAI SHENHUA FC OR DRAW

53%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MACHIDA ZELVIAxSHANGHAI SHENHUA FC

6GAMES71.83SCORED A GAME2.001.17CONCEDED A GAME1.863.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.983%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS71%67%BOTH SCORE71%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Machida Zelvia have scored in 70% of their games.

Shanghai Shenhua FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Machida Zelvia kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.

Shanghai Shenhua FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards