THE READ
Match details. Cyprus Cup. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Als Omonia have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Aep Polemidion have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Als Omonia score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Als Omonia average 10.6 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Aep Polemidion score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Aep Polemidion average 7.2 shots (2.4 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. Aep Polemidion's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Als Omonia to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Als Omonia the likelier winners; Als Omonia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Als Omonia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Als Omonia 2-1 Aep Polemidion (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Als Omonia or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALS 5 of 5 (100%) · AEP 8 of 10 (80%)90%
Als Omonia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Als Omonia or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.12
ALS 5 of 5 (100%) · AEP 7 of 10 (70%)85%
Als Omonia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Als Omonia or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALS 4 of 5 (80%) · AEP 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
Als Omonia scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues)
Als Omonia 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALS 3 of 5 (60%) · AEP 3 of 5 (60%)65%
Als Omonia scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
no price yet
ALS 5 of 5 (100%) · AEP 10 of 10 (100%)100%
Als Omonia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.15
ALS 3 of 5 (60%) · AEP 7 of 10 (70%)68.3%
Als Omonia: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
ALS 3 of 5 (60%) · AEP 4 of 10 (40%)53.3%
Als Omonia: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%
ALS OMONIA GOALS
Als Omonia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALS 5 of 5 (100%) · AEP 7 of 10 (70%)85%
Als Omonia scored in 5 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
ALS 4 of 5 (80%) · AEP 5 of 6 (83%)81.7%
Als Omonia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores
CARDS
no price yet
ALS 4 of 5 (80%) · AEP 6 of 8 (75%)75.8%
Als Omonia's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Aep Polemidion's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72%
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
THE NUMBERS
ALS OMONIA HOMExAEP POLEMIDION AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.001.70CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.20CORNERS A GAME3.622.70CARDS A GAME1.62
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
47%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
ALS OMONIA OR DRAW
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
AEP POLEMIDION OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
Als Omonia have scored in 100% of their games.
Aep Polemidion have scored in 50% of their games.
Als Omonia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Aep Polemidion kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.