Match details. Copa do Brasil, Women. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time.
Form. SC Internacional RS have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. Red Bull Bragantino SP have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. SC Internacional RS score 2.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. SC Internacional RS average 16.3 shots (6.3 on target), 8.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Red Bull Bragantino SP score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Red Bull Bragantino SP average 9.4 shots (5.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The case against. Red Bull Bragantino SP's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. SC Internacional RS to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make SC Internacional RS the likelier winners; SC Internacional RS are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SC Internacional RS 2-1 Red Bull Bragantino SP (10% chance).
The agreed story. SC Internacional RS or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. SC Internacional RS in their last cup games: lost 1-3 at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS, drew 0-0 v Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).