Match details. Bundesliga, Women. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. SK Rapid Wien have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. SKN St. Polten W have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.
The numbers. SK Rapid Wien score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SK Rapid Wien average 2.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. SKN St. Polten W score 2.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. SKN St. Polten W average 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: SKN St. Polten W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make SKN St. Polten W the likelier winners; SKN St. Polten W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SKN St. Polten W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SK Rapid Wien 1-2 SKN St. Polten W (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (SKN St. Polten W the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).