Match details. Super League. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Nkana FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. Kansanshi Dynamos have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D.
The numbers. Nkana FC score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Nkana FC average 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Kansanshi Dynamos score 0.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Kansanshi Dynamos average 6.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Kansanshi Dynamos's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Nkana FC to win. A tight game. Nkana FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%.
The bets. Best bet: Nkana FC or Draw at 1.20, 70% on the records (Nkana FC unbeaten in 5 of 6; Kansanshi Dynamos failed to win 4 of 7). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Nkana FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 2.5 Goals (Nkana FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Nkana FC 1-0 Kansanshi Dynamos (17% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).