Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 2 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CD Arnedo are 18th on 3 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Calamocha. A win would take them above Calamocha. Naxara CD are 15th on 6 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Barbastro, 1 point clear of SD Logroñés. A win would take them above Barbastro.
Form. CD Arnedo have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. Naxara CD have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D.
The numbers. CD Arnedo score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. CD Arnedo average 6.0 shots (3.5 on target), 2.8 corners and 4.2 cards a game. Naxara CD score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Naxara CD average 10.0 shots (2.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings CD Arnedo have won two, drawn none and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 16 Feb 2025, it finished CD Arnedo 0-4 Naxara CD.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. CD Arnedo's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Naxara CD to win. Naxara CD are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Naxara CD.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Naxara CD Over 0.5 Goals (Naxara CD's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CD Arnedo 0-1 Naxara CD (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).