Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de Linarejos, Linares.
What's at stake. CD Linares are 8th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Sevilla Atletico, 1 point clear of Puente Genil. A win would take them above Sevilla Atletico. Sevilla Atletico are 7th on 13 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Mijas Las Lagunas, level on points with Linares Deportivo. A win would take them above Mijas Las Lagunas.
Form. CD Linares have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W. Sevilla Atletico have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D.
The numbers. CD Linares score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Linares average 11.3 shots (3.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Sevilla Atletico score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Sevilla Atletico average 10.6 shots (4.6 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings CD Linares have won three, drawn none and lost one. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 28 May 2022, it finished CD Linares 4-1 Sevilla Atletico.
Where it pulls both ways. Sevilla Atletico are the form side, but the meetings favour CD Linares: in the last four meetings, CD Linares won three and Sevilla Atletico won one.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); CD Linares or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Linares 2-2 Sevilla Atletico (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).