UPUDP

11:30Sun 8 Nov

CDC

UD Poblense vs CD Cieza

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. UD Poblense are 13th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Alcoyano, 1 point clear of Mallorca II. A win would take them above Alcoyano. CD Cieza are 5th on 14 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Castellonense, 1 point clear of Atlético Baleares. A win would take them above Castellonense.

Form. UD Poblense have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. CD Cieza have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.

The numbers. UD Poblense score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UD Poblense average 8.7 shots (4.0 on target), 2.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD Cieza score three and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Cieza average 8.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game.

The case against. UD Poblense's record still gives them 29% to win.

The read. CD Cieza to win. A tight game. CD Cieza are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Cieza. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Cieza or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Cieza or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Poblense 0-1 CD Cieza (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Cieza or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDP 8 of 8 (100%) · CDC 7 of 9 (78%)88.9%

CD Cieza: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

CD Cieza (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDP 4 of 6 (67%) · CDC 5 of 8 (62%)54%

CD Cieza won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · UD Poblense lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 65% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 4

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDP 9 of 9 (100%) · CDC 7 of 8 (88%)94.7%

UD Poblense: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDP 9 of 9 (100%) · CDC 7 of 8 (88%)87.1%

UD Poblense: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDP 4 of 9 (44%) · CDC 4 of 8 (50%)54.4%

UD Poblense: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level

UD POBLENSE GOALS

UD Poblense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDP 6 of 9 (67%) · CDC 6 of 8 (75%)71.6%

UD Poblense scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level

CD CIEZA GOALS

CD Cieza Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDP 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 7 of 9 (78%)75%

CD Cieza scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level

Left off the list: CD Cieza or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Cieza or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.1%

UD Poblense goals →

CD Cieza goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

UD POBLENSELLLWLWDWLL1.00 PPG

CD CIEZAWDWLDWWWLL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UD POBLENSE HOMExCD CIEZA AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE25%2.33CORNERS A GAME4.123.00CARDS A GAME3.12

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME1.75-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.88–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.31.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES8

CD Cieza: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

UD POBLENSE OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

CD CIEZA OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

UD POBLENSExCD CIEZA

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.401.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

UD Poblense have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Cieza have scored in 70% of their games.

UD Poblense kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

CD Cieza kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards