OCOUR

17:00Sun 8 Nov

CLU

Ourense CF vs Club Portugalete

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de O Couto.

What's at stake. Ourense CF are 7th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with Compostela, level on points with Real Oviedo II. A win would take them above Compostela. Club Portugalete are 9th on 13 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Real Oviedo II, 2 points clear of Gernika. A win would take them above Real Oviedo II.

Form. Ourense CF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Club Portugalete have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L.

The numbers. Ourense CF score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ourense CF average 10.0 shots (3.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Club Portugalete score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Club Portugalete average 12.3 shots (3.9 on target), 6.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ourense CF 1-1 Club Portugalete (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OUR 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 8 of 9 (89%)95.5%

Ourense CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Club Portugalete: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Ourense CF: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Ourense CF's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OUR 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 7 of 9 (78%)88.6%

Ourense CF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Club Portugalete: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Ourense CF: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Ourense CF's level

CORNERS

Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OUR 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 5 of 6 (83%)71.2%

Ourense CF's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 5 at home · Club Portugalete's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Ourense CF: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Ourense CF's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OUR 3 of 5 (60%) · CLU 6 of 6 (100%)79.5%

Ourense CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 at home · Club Portugalete's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Ourense CF: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Ourense CF's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Ourense CF goals →

Club Portugalete goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

OURENSE CFWWWLWDLLWD1.70 PPG

CLUB PORTUGALETEWWDWLLWDDD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OURENSE CF HOMExCLUB PORTUGALETE AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.3040%CLEAN SHEETS30%44%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.71CORNERS A GAME6.862.57CARDS A GAME3.57

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.56POINTS A GAME1.44+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.71.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.29LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

OURENSE CF OR DRAW

53%

NO · 80/85

CLUB PORTUGALETE OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

OURENSE CFxCLUB PORTUGALETE

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Ourense CF have scored in 60% of their games.

Club Portugalete have scored in 70% of their games.

Ourense CF kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Club Portugalete kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards