Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina.
What's at stake. CF Talavera de La Reina are 8th on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with Navalcarnero, 3 points clear of Guadalajara. A win would take them above Navalcarnero. UB Conquense are 2nd on 18 points after 9 games, 1 point behind SS Reyes, 1 point clear of Real Valladolid II. A win would take them above SS Reyes.
Form. CF Talavera de La Reina have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. UB Conquense have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.
The numbers. CF Talavera de La Reina score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Talavera de La Reina average 11.3 shots (4.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. UB Conquense score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. UB Conquense average 10.4 shots (4.2 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings CF Talavera de La Reina have won one, drawn none and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2025, it finished CF Talavera de La Reina 0-1 UB Conquense.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: UB Conquense or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); UB Conquense or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); UB Conquense 1UP (the call is a draw). Predicted score: CF Talavera de La Reina 1-1 UB Conquense (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).