Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. UD Llanera are 17th on 7 points after 9 games, level on points with Atlético Astorga, 2 points clear of Gimnástica Torrelavega. A win would take them above Atlético Astorga. Bergantinos FC are 3rd on 18 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Deportivo Alavés II, 1 point clear of Eibar II. A win would take them above Deportivo Alavés II.
Form. UD Llanera have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. Bergantinos FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.
The numbers. UD Llanera score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. UD Llanera average 9.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 4.2 cards a game. Bergantinos FC score 2.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Bergantinos FC average 13.0 shots (6.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings UD Llanera have won three, drawn one and lost none. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 9 Feb 2025, it finished UD Llanera 1-0 Bergantinos FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Bergantinos FC are the form side, but the meetings favour UD Llanera: in the last four meetings, UD Llanera won three and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: UD Llanera or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bergantinos FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: UD Llanera 1-2 Bergantinos FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).