CD Guadalajara vs CDA Navalcarnero
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CD Guadalajara are 9th on 12 points after 9 games, 3 points behind CF Talavera, 2 points clear of Gimnástica Segoviana. A win would take them level on points with CF Talavera. CDA Navalcarnero are 7th on 15 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Salamanca UDS, level on points with CF Talavera. A win would take them above Salamanca UDS.
Form. CD Guadalajara have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D. CDA Navalcarnero have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D.
The numbers. CD Guadalajara score 2.8 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. CD Guadalajara average 13.7 shots (6.6 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CDA Navalcarnero score 2.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. CDA Navalcarnero average 9.1 shots (3.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings CD Guadalajara have won three, drawn one and lost two. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Guadalajara won two and CDA Navalcarnero won two. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2025, it finished CD Guadalajara 1-2 CDA Navalcarnero.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Guadalajara the likelier winners, but CDA Navalcarnero are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CDA Navalcarnero or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CDA Navalcarnero 1UP (the call is a draw). Predicted score: CD Guadalajara 2-2 CDA Navalcarnero (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).