East Bengal FC vs Hwacheon KSPO FC
Match details. AFC Women's Champions League. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time.
Form. East Bengal FC have won six, drawn one and lost two of their last nine, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Hwacheon KSPO FC have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D.
The numbers. East Bengal FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. East Bengal FC average 6.2 shots (2.0 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Hwacheon KSPO FC score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Hwacheon KSPO FC average 9.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 0.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: East Bengal FC 1-1 Hwacheon KSPO FC (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Hwacheon KSPO FC the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. The Champions League: the best against the best, and the two league tables cannot be compared. East Bengal FC in their last continental games: lost 0-2 v Al-Seeb, drew 0-0 at Al-Seeb, lost 2-3 v Al Shorta SC. Too few continental games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).