Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:15 Lagos time. It is played at Al-Shamal SC Stadium, Gray Shamal.
What's at stake. Al-Shamal are 9th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Al-Gharafa, 2 points clear of Al Shahaniya. A win would take them above Al-Gharafa. Al-Sailiya SC are 12th on 1 point after 8 games, 5 points behind Qatar SC.
Form. Al-Shamal have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Al-Sailiya SC have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D.
The numbers. Al-Shamal score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Al-Shamal average 10.2 shots (4.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Al-Sailiya SC score one and concede three a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Al-Sailiya SC average 6.6 shots (2.4 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 40% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al-Shamal have won two, drawn two and lost six. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Al-Shamal won one, one was drawn and Al-Sailiya SC won two. The last time they met, on 30 Jan 2026, it finished Al-Shamal 0-0 Al-Sailiya SC: Al-Shamal had 19 shots to 8, 62% of the ball, nine yellow cards.
The case against. Al-Sailiya SC's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Al-Shamal to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al-Shamal the likelier winners; Al-Shamal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al-Shamal. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 80% on the records (Al-Shamal: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Al-Sailiya SC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.27. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Al-Shamal 2-1 Al-Sailiya SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).