HONDURAS - LIGA NACIONAL
00:15Thu 5 Nov
FCM
FM
CD Estrella Roja vs FC Motagua Tegucigalpa
CLASS D
THE READ
Match details. Liga Nacional. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 00:15 Lagos time.
Form. CD Estrella Roja have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. CD Estrella Roja score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CD Estrella Roja average 6.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa score 1.3 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa average 6.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. CD Estrella Roja's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa to win. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Motagua Tegucigalpa.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); 1st Half Result or Match Result: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa (the signs point different ways); CD Estrella Roja Under 1.5 goals (CD Estrella Roja's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: CD Estrella Roja 0-1 FC Motagua Tegucigalpa (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 5 of 6 (83%) · FCM 5 of 5 (100%)87.5%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 92% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Estrella Roja's level · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.15
CDE 5 of 6 (83%) · FCM 5 of 5 (100%)87.5%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 92% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Estrella Roja's level · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · FCM 7 of 8 (88%)84.4%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
Double Chance: Draw or FC Motagua TegucigalpaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
CDE 5 of 6 (83%) · FCM 3 of 5 (60%)65.9%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 77% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Estrella Roja's level · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 3 of 5 (60%) · FCM 5 of 8 (62%)64.6%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
CDE 6 of 6 (100%) · FCM 1 of 5 (20%)58.8%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Estrella Roja's level · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · FCM 6 of 6 (100%)95.9%
CD Estrella Roja: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Estrella Roja's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · FCM 6 of 6 (100%)90%
CD Estrella Roja: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Estrella Roja's level
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA GOALS
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
CDE 5 of 6 (83%) · FCM 5 of 5 (100%)73.7%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estrella Roja conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 92% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at CD Estrella Roja's level · CD Estrella Roja: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
Left off the list: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (64%) and the records (92%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); 1st Half Result or Match Result: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa (the numbers (43%) and the records (72%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); CD Estrella Roja Under 1.5 goals (CD Estrella Roja's own games don't back it (1 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 8.4%
CD Estrella Roja goals →
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CD ESTRELLA ROJAWDWLLDLDWD1.30 PPG
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPAWLWDWWLDWW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD ESTRELLA ROJA HOMExFC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA AWAY
1.75SCORED A GAME1.581.83CONCEDED A GAME0.750%CLEAN SHEETS70%6.13CORNERS A GAME6.882.63CARDS A GAME1.88
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME2.20+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.10+4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.410LEAGUE GAMES10
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
81%
NO · 85/90
CD ESTRELLA ROJA OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD ESTRELLA ROJAxFC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME0.403.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Estrella Roja have scored in 70% of their games.
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Estrella Roja kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards