Match details. Liga Nacional. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time.
Form. Olancho FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D. Lobos UPNFM have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Olancho FC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Olancho FC average 4.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Lobos UPNFM score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lobos UPNFM average 5.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 74% on the records (Olancho FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Lobos UPNFM: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Olancho FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Lobos UPNFM or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Olancho FC 2-1 Lobos UPNFM (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Olancho FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.12
89.8%
a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or gg)
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.18
OLA 5 of 6 (83%) · LOB 4 of 5 (80%)80.3%
Olancho FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Lobos UPNFM: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Olancho FC: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at Olancho FC's level
Left off the list: Olancho FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Lobos UPNFM or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Lobos UPNFM or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Olancho FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.1%
Olancho FC goals →
Lobos UPNFM goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
OLANCHO FCWDLDDDDLDW1.20 PPG
LOBOS UPNFMWLWDWWLLLD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
OLANCHO FC HOMExLOBOS UPNFM AWAY
1.25SCORED A GAME1.251.00CONCEDED A GAME1.3330%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.11CORNERS A GAME5.292.89CARDS A GAME2.71
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.20+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.30-1.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES10
Lobos UPNFM: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
28%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 85/90
OLANCHO FC OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
LOBOS UPNFM OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
OLANCHO FCxLOBOS UPNFM
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Olancho FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Lobos UPNFM have scored in 60% of their games.
Olancho FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Lobos UPNFM kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards