Match details. Egypt Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at El-Gazel Stadium, El Mahalla El Kubra.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Ghazl El Mahallah have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. Al Ittihad Al Sakandary have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. Ghazl El Mahallah score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Ghazl El Mahallah average 11.6 shots (2.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Al Ittihad Al Sakandary score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Al Ittihad Al Sakandary average 11.4 shots (3.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ghazl El Mahallah have won four, drawn four and lost two. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Ghazl El Mahallah won two, one was drawn and Al Ittihad Al Sakandary won one. The last time they met, on 21 Oct 2026, it finished Ghazl El Mahallah 2-1 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary: Ghazl El Mahallah had 16 shots to 9, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Al Ittihad Al Sakandary are the form side, but the meetings favour Ghazl El Mahallah: in the last ten meetings, Ghazl El Mahallah won four, Al Ittihad Al Sakandary won two and four were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their xG points to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ghazl El Mahallah or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Al Ittihad Al Sakandary or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ghazl El Mahallah 0-0 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).