Match details. Primera Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. Real Murcia CF have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. CF Algeciras have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. Real Murcia CF score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Real Murcia CF average 4.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CF Algeciras score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CF Algeciras average 4.7 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. CF Algeciras's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Real Murcia CF to win. Their goals for and against make Real Murcia CF the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Real Murcia CF.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Real Murcia CF 1-0 CF Algeciras (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 8 of 8 (100%) · CFA 4 of 5 (80%)95.5%
Real Murcia CF: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CF Algeciras: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 7 of 8 (88%) · CFA 5 of 5 (100%)91.5%
Real Murcia CF: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CF Algeciras: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 8 of 8 (100%) · CFA 3 of 5 (60%)88.6%
Real Murcia CF: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CF Algeciras: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
REA 3 of 8 (38%) · CFA 5 of 5 (100%)72.7%
Real Murcia CF: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CF Algeciras: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.9%
Real Murcia CF goals →
CF Algeciras goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
REAL MURCIA CFWLDWLWLWDL1.40 PPG
CF ALGECIRASLWWLWWDLLL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
REAL MURCIA CF HOMExCF ALGECIRAS AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%BOTH SCORED70%40%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.40CORNERS A GAME4.672.70CARDS A GAME3.44
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.90POINTS A GAME1.30+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.10-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES10
Real Murcia CF: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
REAL MURCIA CF OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CF ALGECIRAS OR DRAW
23%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
REAL MURCIA CFxCF ALGECIRAS
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.600.40CONCEDED A GAME1.000.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.60%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%0%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Real Murcia CF have scored in 60% of their games.
CF Algeciras have scored in 100% of their games.
Real Murcia CF kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
CF Algeciras kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards