Match details. AFC Champions League Two, Group Stage - 4. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Wolves Park, Buraydah.
What's at stake. Al-Taawoun FC are 1st on 7 points after 3 games, 1 point clear of Al-Rayyan SC. AL Faisaly (Jor) are 3rd on 3 points after 3 games, 3 points behind Al-Rayyan SC, 2 points clear of Al-Nahda. A win would take them level on points with Al-Rayyan SC.
Form. Al-Taawoun FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. AL Faisaly (Jor) have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.
The numbers. Al-Taawoun FC score 0.8 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Al-Taawoun FC average 9.2 shots (3.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. AL Faisaly (Jor) score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. AL Faisaly (Jor) average 12.3 shots (5.8 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 28 Oct 2026, it finished Al-Taawoun FC 2-0 AL Faisaly (Jor): Al-Taawoun FC had 12 shots to 18, 51% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 20% against the records' 47%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. No firm call: AL Faisaly (Jor) are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make AL Faisaly (Jor) the likelier winners; AL Faisaly (Jor) are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Faisaly (Jor).
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Al-Taawoun FC 1-1 AL Faisaly (Jor) (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).