Al Rayyan SC vs Al Nahda
Al Nahda scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al Rayyan SC conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Match details. AFC Champions League Two. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al Rayyan SC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. Al Nahda have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.
The numbers. Al Rayyan SC score 2.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Rayyan SC average 11.2 shots (4.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Al Nahda score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Al Nahda average 10.6 shots (5.0 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Al Rayyan SC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Rayyan SC the likelier winners; Al Rayyan SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Rayyan SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 80% on the records (Al Rayyan SC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Al Nahda: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Full cover: Al Nahda Under 1.5 Goals at 1.22. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Al Rayyan SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Al Rayyan SC Over 1.5 goals (Al Nahda's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Al Rayyan SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Al Rayyan SC 2-1 Al Nahda (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).