Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 10. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CD Basconia are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Gernika, 3 points clear of Coruxo. A win would take them above Gernika. SD Amorebieta are 5th on 16 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Eibar II, 2 points clear of Compostela. A win would take them above Eibar II.
Form. CD Basconia have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. SD Amorebieta have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. CD Basconia score 2.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CD Basconia average 11.0 shots (5.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. SD Amorebieta score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. SD Amorebieta average 11.2 shots (5.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings CD Basconia have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished CD Basconia 2-1 SD Amorebieta.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: SD Amorebieta or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Amorebieta or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Basconia Over 0.5 Goals (SD Amorebieta's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CD Basconia 1-1 SD Amorebieta (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).