Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo.
What's at stake. Barakaldo CF are 15th on 11 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Zamora, level on points with Deportivo La Coruña II. A win would take them above Zamora. Real Union de Irun are 11th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Ponferradina, level on points with Mérida AD. A win would take them above Ponferradina.
Form. Barakaldo CF have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D. In this competition Barakaldo CF have gone D D W L D D. Real Union de Irun have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. In this competition Real Union de Irun have gone L W D D D L.
The numbers. Barakaldo CF score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Union de Irun score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Barakaldo CF have won two, drawn one and lost two. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Barakaldo CF won one, one was drawn and Real Union de Irun won two. The last time they met, on 2 Feb 2025, it finished Barakaldo CF 0-2 Real Union de Irun.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Barakaldo CF 1-1 Real Union de Irun (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).