AD Alcorcon vs Real Jaen CF
Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
What's at stake. AD Alcorcon are 7th on 15 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Hércules, level on points with FC Cartagena. A win would take them above Hércules. Real Jaen CF are 3rd on 19 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Zaragoza, level on points with Real Murcia. A win would take them above Zaragoza.
Form. AD Alcorcon have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W. In this competition AD Alcorcon have gone D D D L W W. Real Jaen CF have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. In this competition Real Jaen CF have gone W D W D D L.
The numbers. AD Alcorcon score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Real Jaen CF score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 50%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AD Alcorcon 1-1 Real Jaen CF (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).