Kataka FC vs URA FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at BCS Sports complex Bukedea.
What's at stake. Kataka FC are 17th on 3 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Ntugasaze, 2 points clear of Kigezi HomeBoyz. A win would take them above Ntugasaze. URA FC are 11th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Maroons, 2 points clear of Express. A win would take them above Maroons.
Form. Kataka FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. URA FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.
The numbers. Kataka FC score 0.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Kataka FC average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. URA FC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. URA FC average 10.5 shots (3.9 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The case against. Kataka FC's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. URA FC to win. URA FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour URA FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: URA FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: URA FC (the signs point different ways); 2nd Half - Draw No Bet: URA FC (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Kataka FC 0-1 URA FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).