Match details. Gulf Club Champions League, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam.
Form. Al-Ettifaq have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition Al-Ettifaq have gone W. Ajman have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Ajman have gone W W.
The numbers. Al-Ettifaq score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al-Ettifaq average 12.7 shots (5.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Ajman score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The case against. Ajman's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. Al-Ettifaq to win. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 73% on the records (Al-Ettifaq FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; Ajman Club: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: 2nd Half - Al-Ittifaq FC Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Al-Ettifaq FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Al-Ettifaq FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Al-Ettifaq 2-1 Ajman (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).