Match details. Serie C, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. US Pianese have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. Perugia Calcio Spa have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. US Pianese score 0.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. US Pianese average 5.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Perugia Calcio Spa score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Perugia Calcio Spa average 5.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 75% on the records (US Pianese: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Perugia Calcio Spa: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Perugia Calcio Spa or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Perugia Calcio Spa or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: US Pianese 1-1 Perugia Calcio Spa (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Perugia Calcio Spa or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.21
USP 4 of 5 (80%) · PER 9 of 10 (90%)83.3%
Perugia Calcio Spa: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · US Pianese: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level
Perugia Calcio Spa or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.26
USP 3 of 5 (60%) · PER 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Perugia Calcio Spa scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · US Pianese trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level
Double Chance: Draw or Perugia Calcio SpaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.34
USP 3 of 5 (60%) · PER 9 of 10 (90%)57.4%
Perugia Calcio Spa unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · US Pianese failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USP 10 of 10 (100%) · PER 4 of 5 (80%)95.5%
US Pianese: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Perugia Calcio Spa: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · US Pianese: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at US Pianese's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.21
USP 9 of 10 (90%) · PER 3 of 5 (60%)74.9%
US Pianese: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Perugia Calcio Spa: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · US Pianese: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at US Pianese's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.61
USP 7 of 10 (70%) · PER 2 of 5 (40%)53.3%
US Pianese: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Perugia Calcio Spa: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · US Pianese: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at US Pianese's level
PERUGIA CALCIO SPA GOALS
Perugia Calcio Spa Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USP 3 of 5 (60%) · PER 6 of 10 (60%)67.8%
Perugia Calcio Spa scored in 3 of 5 away · US Pianese conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Perugia Calcio Spa: only games against sides at US Pianese's level · US Pianese: only games against sides at Perugia Calcio Spa's level
Left off the list: Perugia Calcio Spa or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (44%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.3%
US Pianese goals →
Perugia Calcio Spa goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
US PIANESEDDDDWLDLDL0.90 PPG
PERUGIA CALCIO SPADLWLWWLLLW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US PIANESE HOMExPERUGIA CALCIO SPA AWAY
0.58SCORED A GAME1.330.92CONCEDED A GAME1.5050%BOTH SCORED50%40%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.25CORNERS A GAME5.671.92CARDS A GAME2.17
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.91POINTS A GAME1.42-0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.17+1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.71.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES12
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
US PIANESE OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
PERUGIA CALCIO SPA OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US PIANESExPERUGIA CALCIO SPA
5GAMES60.60SCORED A GAME1.830.40CONCEDED A GAME1.671.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.540%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%40%BOTH SCORE67%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.211.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Pianese have scored in 50% of their games.
Perugia Calcio Spa have scored in 60% of their games.
US Pianese kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Perugia Calcio Spa kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards