SSSKS

12:00Sun 8 Nov

BFC

SK Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 36. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Slokas Stadionā, Jūrmala.

What's at stake. SK Super Nova are 6th on 39 points after 35 games, 9 points behind FK Liepaja, 7 points clear of FS Jelgava. BFC Daugavpils are 4th on 51 points after 35 games, 19 points behind Auda, 3 points clear of FK Liepaja. SK Super Nova have nothing left to play for. BFC Daugavpils have nothing left to play for.

Form. SK Super Nova have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition SK Super Nova have gone D L L L W L. BFC Daugavpils have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition BFC Daugavpils have gone W W W W D L.

The numbers. SK Super Nova score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. SK Super Nova average 9.8 shots (3.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. BFC Daugavpils score 0.7 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. BFC Daugavpils average 11.9 shots (4.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings SK Super Nova have won two, drawn five and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SK Super Nova won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished SK Super Nova 0-0 BFC Daugavpils: SK Super Nova had 6 shots to 15, 47% of the ball, four yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SK Super Nova 1-1 BFC Daugavpils (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

BFC Daugavpils or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.21

SKS 6 of 6 (100%) · BFC 8 of 10 (80%)82.9%

BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · SK Super Nova: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level

BFC Daugavpils or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.17

SKS 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 5 of 6 (83%)77.8%

BFC Daugavpils scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 away · SK Super Nova trailed or failed to win in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

BFC Daugavpils or Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SKS 3 of 6 (50%) · BFC 8 of 10 (80%)63.8%

BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · SK Super Nova: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level

BFC Daugavpils win or both teams scoreLEANHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

SKS 3 of 6 (50%) · BFC 8 of 10 (80%)63.8%

Double Chance: Draw or BFC DaugavpilsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.24

SKS 5 of 6 (83%) · BFC 7 of 10 (70%)62.9%

BFC Daugavpils unbeaten in 5 of 6 away · SK Super Nova failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level

BFC Daugavpils 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

SKS 3 of 5 (60%) · BFC 3 of 6 (50%)60%

BFC Daugavpils scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 6 away · SK Super Nova trailed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SKS 9 of 10 (90%) · BFC 6 of 6 (100%)95.9%

SK Super Nova: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · BFC Daugavpils: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

SKS 9 of 10 (90%) · BFC 6 of 6 (100%)89.4%

SK Super Nova: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · BFC Daugavpils: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.66

SKS 4 of 10 (40%) · BFC 2 of 6 (33%)51.1%

SK Super Nova: both scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · BFC Daugavpils: both scored in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 40% · H2H 3 of 6 · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level

SK SUPER NOVA GOALS

SK Super Nova Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.39

SKS 6 of 10 (60%) · BFC 3 of 6 (50%)71.8%

SK Super Nova scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · BFC Daugavpils conceded in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 4 of 6 · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level

BFC DAUGAVPILS GOALS

BFC Daugavpils Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SKS 3 of 6 (50%) · BFC 8 of 10 (80%)70.3%

BFC Daugavpils scored in 3 of 6 away · SK Super Nova conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.47

SKS 8 of 10 (80%) · BFC 5 of 6 (83%)82.9%

SK Super Nova: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SKS 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 6 of 7 (86%)82.9%

SK Super Nova's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · BFC Daugavpils's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · SK Super Nova: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at SK Super Nova's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

SK Super Nova goals →

BFC Daugavpils goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41.0%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SK SUPER NOVADWWLLWLLLD1.10 PPG

BFC DAUGAVPILSWDLDLDWWWW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SK SUPER NOVA HOMExBFC DAUGAVPILS AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.101.60CONCEDED A GAME0.6020%CLEAN SHEETS40%29%FAILED TO SCORE29%3.60CORNERS A GAME4.432.60CARDS A GAME1.571.15xG1.382.35xG AGAINST1.53

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME2.00-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.92-4.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.40.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.615LEAGUE GAMES12

BFC Daugavpils: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

BFC DAUGAVPILS 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SK SUPER NOVA OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

BFC DAUGAVPILS OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SK SUPER NOVAxBFC DAUGAVPILS

8GAMES70.88SCORED A GAME1.141.12CONCEDED A GAME0.432.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.662%OVER 1.5 GOALS43%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS29%38%BOTH SCORE29%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SK SUPER NOVA 2 · 20%DRAW 5BFC DAUGAVPILS 3 · 30%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-05-14SK Super Nova 0 – 4 BFC Daugavpils

2023-07-05SK Super Nova 0 – 2 BFC Daugavpils

2023-09-23SK Super Nova 0 – 1 BFC Daugavpils

2025-04-15SK Super Nova 1 – 1 BFC Daugavpils

2025-06-01SK Super Nova 4 – 1 BFC Daugavpils

2025-08-02SK Super Nova 1 – 1 BFC Daugavpils

2025-10-25SK Super Nova 2 – 2 BFC Daugavpils

2026-04-27SK Super Nova 1 – 0 BFC Daugavpils

TRENDS

SK Super Nova have scored in 60% of their games.

BFC Daugavpils have scored in 70% of their games.

SK Super Nova kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BFC Daugavpils kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards