Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 36. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale, Jelgava.
What's at stake. FS Jelgava are 7th on 32 points after 35 games, 7 points behind Super Nova, 3 points clear of Grobiņa. Ogre United are 10th on 19 points after 35 games, 6 points behind Tukums. FS Jelgava have nothing left to play for. Ogre United have nothing left to play for.
Form. FS Jelgava have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition FS Jelgava have gone L L L L L D. Ogre United have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition Ogre United have gone D L L L W L.
The numbers. FS Jelgava score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. FS Jelgava average 10.7 shots (5.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Ogre United score one and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ogre United average 10.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 39% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings FS Jelgava have won two, drawn none and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished FS Jelgava 3-2 Ogre United.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Ogre United's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. FS Jelgava to win. FS Jelgava are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FS Jelgava.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 1-0 Ogre United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).