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LATVIA - VIRSLIGA
FK Grobina crestFGFKG
12:00Sun 8 Nov
FKLFK Liepaja crestFL

FK Grobina vs FK Liepaja

CLASS B
THE READ

Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 36. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Grobina Stadium.

What's at stake. FK Grobina are 8th on 29 points after 35 games, 3 points behind FS Jelgava, 4 points clear of Tukums. A win would take them level on points with FS Jelgava. FK Liepaja are 5th on 48 points after 35 games, 3 points behind BFC Daugavpils, 9 points clear of Super Nova. A win would take them level on points with BFC Daugavpils. FK Grobina have nothing left to play for. FK Liepaja have nothing left to play for.

Form. FK Grobina have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. In this competition FK Grobina have gone L L W L D D. FK Liepaja have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D. In this competition FK Liepaja have gone D D W L D D.

The numbers. FK Grobina score one and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Grobina average 11.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 35% of the ball. FK Liepaja score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. FK Liepaja average 17.5 shots (6.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Grobina have won three, drawn one and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FK Grobina won one, one was drawn and FK Liepaja won two. The last time they met, on 21 Aug 2026, it finished FK Grobina 1-3 FK Liepaja.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. FK Grobina's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. FK Liepaja to win. FK Liepaja are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Liepaja; the meetings favour FK Liepaja.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FK Grobina 1-2 FK Liepaja (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FK Liepaja or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.22
FKG 5 of 5 (100%) · FKL 9 of 10 (90%)89.3%
FK Liepaja scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Grobina trailed or failed to win in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues)
FK Liepaja win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.16
FKG 6 of 10 (60%) · FKL 8 of 10 (80%)69.2%
FK Liepaja: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Grobina: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level
Double Chance: Draw or FK LiepajaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.32
FKG 8 of 10 (80%) · FKL 8 of 10 (80%)64%
FK Liepaja unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Grobina failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level
FK Liepaja or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
FKG 6 of 10 (60%) · FKL 7 of 10 (70%)61.3%
FK Liepaja: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Grobina: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level
FK Liepaja 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
FKG 3 of 5 (60%) · FKL 5 of 10 (50%)55.2%
FK Liepaja scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Grobina trailed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues)
FK Liepaja or draw and over 1.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.52
FKG 6 of 10 (60%) · FKL 5 of 10 (50%)53.8%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Liepaja: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level · rule 2: the meetings back FK Liepaja: in the last 10 meetings, FK Grobina won 3, FK Liepaja won 6 and 1 was drawn; in the
FK Liepaja (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
FKG 3 of 5 (60%) · FKL 6 of 8 (75%)50.9%
FK Liepaja won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FK Grobina lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 3 of 5 · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level · won 1, refunded 3, lost 3
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKG 8 of 10 (80%) · FKL 9 of 10 (90%)93.9%
FK Grobina: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Liepaja: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.20
FKG 7 of 10 (70%) · FKL 7 of 10 (70%)85.4%
FK Grobina: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Liepaja: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
FKG 7 of 10 (70%) · FKL 6 of 10 (60%)76.8%
FK Grobina: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Liepaja: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
FK GROBINA GOALS
FK Grobina Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
FKG 8 of 10 (80%) · FKL 6 of 10 (60%)60.4%
FK Grobina scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Liepaja conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
FK LIEPAJA GOALS
FK Liepaja Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKG 6 of 10 (60%) · FKL 8 of 10 (80%)75.2%
FK Liepaja scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Grobina conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
FKG 9 of 10 (90%) · FKL 7 of 10 (70%)80.8%
FK Grobina: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Liepaja: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FK Grobina: only games against sides at FK Liepaja's level · FK Liepaja: only games against sides at FK Grobina's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.4%
FK Grobina goals →
FK Liepaja goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41.0%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
FK GROBINALLWLDDLWLL0.80 PPG
FK LIEPAJAWLWDDDLWDD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK GROBINA HOMExFK LIEPAJA AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.602.30CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS40%46%FAILED TO SCORE31%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.503.00CARDS A GAME2.501.36xG2.362.34xG AGAINST1.49
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.86POINTS A GAME1.31-1.21GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.15-5.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.70.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES13
FK Liepaja: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
70%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 85/90
FK GROBINA OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
FK LIEPAJA OR DRAW
49%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK GROBINAxFK LIEPAJA
6GAMES61.83SCORED A GAME1.001.67CONCEDED A GAME1.503.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.567%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%67%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FK GROBINA 3 · 30%DRAW 1FK LIEPAJA 6 · 60%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-05-29FK Grobina 0 – 3 FK Liepaja
2024-08-03FK Grobina 1 – 0 FK Liepaja
2024-10-26FK Grobina 1 – 3 FK Liepaja
2025-03-16FK Grobina 1 – 4 FK Liepaja
2025-05-10FK Grobina 2 – 0 FK Liepaja
2025-06-30FK Grobina 0 – 2 FK Liepaja
2025-09-21FK Grobina 0 – 1 FK Liepaja
2026-04-28FK Grobina 1 – 1 FK Liepaja
TRENDS
FK Grobina have scored in 70% of their games.
FK Liepaja have scored in 60% of their games.
FK Grobina kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
FK Liepaja kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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