Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 13. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Alberto Pinto, Caserta. The referee is L. Mastrodomenico.
What's at stake. Casertana FC are 10th on 17 points after 12 games, level on points with Inter U23, 2 points clear of Cavese. A win would take them above Inter U23. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio are 14th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Foggia, level on points with Team Altamura. A win would take them above Foggia.
Form. Casertana FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. In this competition Casertana FC have gone L D D W L L. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. In this competition S.S.D. Casarano Calcio have gone D W L D L L.
The numbers. Casertana FC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Casertana FC average 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio average 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Casertana FC have won one, drawn none and lost three. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Casertana FC 2-3 S.S.D. Casarano Calcio.
Where it pulls both ways. Casertana FC are the form side, but the meetings favour S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: in the last four meetings, Casertana FC won one and S.S.D. Casarano Calcio won three. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Casertana FC 1-1 S.S.D. Casarano Calcio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).