AL Markhiya vs AL Waab
Match details. 2. Division, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 15:15 Lagos time. It is played at Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha.
What's at stake. AL Markhiya are 1st on 13 points after 5 games, 2 points clear of Al Kharaitiyat. AL Waab are 8th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Muaither SC, 1 point clear of Qatar U23. A win would take them above Muaither SC.
Form. AL Markhiya have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. AL Waab have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D.
The numbers. AL Markhiya score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Markhiya average 9.8 shots (4.7 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AL Waab score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. AL Waab average 11.0 shots (3.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AL Markhiya have won six, drawn two and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, AL Markhiya won one, two were drawn and AL Waab won one. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished AL Markhiya 1-1 AL Waab.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 50%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: AL Markhiya are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make AL Markhiya the likelier winners; AL Markhiya are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Markhiya; the meetings favour AL Markhiya.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AL Markhiya 1-0 AL Waab (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).